Has Obama's housing policy failed?

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The president's efforts to revive the housing market have largely failed. But is that entirely Obama's fault?

"I don't think anyone could have done anything to stabilize the housing market," said Ed Jacob, executive director of NHS Chicago, which provides homeownership and foreclosure prevention services. "This housing market was in far worse shape than anyone knew."

Obama took office in 2009, promising swift action to address the mortgage crisis. He quickly unveiled his signature foreclosure prevention program, known as HAMP, and his refinance program, known as HARP.

But the HAMP program, which was designed to lower troubled borrowers' mortgage rates to no more than 31% of their monthly income, ran into problems almost immediately. Many lenders lost documents, and many borrowers didn't qualify. Three years later, it has helped a scant 910,000 homeowners -- a far cry from the promised 4 million.

HARP, which was intended to reach 5 million borrowers, has yielded about the same results. Through October, when it was revamped and expanded, the program had assisted 962,000.

Meanwhile, more than 3.5 million people remain behind in their mortgage payments and more than 1.9 million homes are in foreclosure. And home prices have fallen for six months straight.

GOP cribs: Where the candidates live

One of the main problems with Obama's foreclosure prevention program was that the housing crisis had already spiraled beyond unaffordable mortgage rates. Homeowners were defaulting because they didn't have jobs -- and the administration's effort did little to help them.

In response, Obama rolled out a multitude of initiatives designed to help the underwater and the unemployed. But few of them have had much impact.

"He focused his gun in the wrong place," said Anthony Sanders, a real estate finance professor at George Mason University. "The administration's approach is to kick the can down the road. That d! oesn't l ead to a recovery and just strings the problem along."

But the president deserves points for having the Federal Housing Administration step in to provide mortgages for homeowners and for spurring homebuying with a tax credit, said John Burns, head of John Burns Real Estate Consulting. They staunched the bleeding in home sales and values. The Federal Reserve has also tried to help by keeping mortgage rates at record lows.

At the same time, though, the economy has remained weak. Unemployment is still high, consumer confidence is still low and banks are still hesitant to lend.

And Congress and the president remain at odds over how to spur job creation, which many say is the key to stabilizing the housing market.

"Obama was in many ways hemmed in as to how to effectively and positively affect the housing crisis," said Gabriel Stuart, director of UCLA's Ziman Center for Real Estate. "The economy was moving under their feet."

Missed opportunities

One thing some experts say Obama could have done is required servicers, as well as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, to write down the principal balance on loans. This, however, has been a very controversial step because it would have forced large losses on banks and the government-controlled mortgage finance companies.

But at least the administration could have come down harder on the mortgage servicers, forcing them to expand and improve their foreclosure prevention processing procedures more quickly, experts said.

In Phoenix, Obama's foreclosure programs are helping some people, but many more could take advantage of them if the administration had taken a harder line with servicers, said Patricia Garcia Duarte, chief executive of NHS-Phoenix, which counseled 1,800 delinquent homeowners last year.

"The missing ingredient was that it was a voluntary program," she said. "If it hadn't been, we would have had much better results."

Were you f! alling o ut of the middle class even before the Great Recession hit? Do you have a job but still feel you aren't upwardly mobile? Are you better or worse off than your parents? Email realstories@cnnmoney.com with your name and phone number, and you could be featured in an upcoming story on CNNMoney. 

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4-Star Stocks Poised to Pop: Blackstone Group

Based on the aggregated intelligence of 180,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, alternative asset manager Blackstone Group (NYSE: BX  ) has earned a respected four-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at Blackstone's and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

Blackstone facts

Headquarters (Founded) New York (1985)
Market Cap $7.15 billion
Industry Asset management
Trailing-12-Month Revenue $3.36 billion
Management Co-Founder/Chairman/CEO Stephen Schwarzman
President/COO Hamilton James
Return on Equity (Average, Past 3 Years) (26%)
Long-Term Debt $9.41 billion
Dividend Yield 2.7%
Competitors Bain Capital
The Carlyle Group
KKR & Co

Sources: S&P Capital IQ and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 85% of the 1,069 members who have rated Blackstone believe the stock will outperform the S&P 500 going forward. ?

Just last week, one of those bulls, All-Star TMFDeej, tapped the stock as a tempting bargain opportunity:

I'm sure that I have shorted Blackstone here in the past, but at today's prices the company is too cheap to ignore. It's assets under management have doubled since it's IPO, yet it's stock price has imploded. Its GAAP financials hide the business's profitability. With a solid franchise, huge dividend, ! and net cash on its balance sheet, [Blackstone] is a good bet to outperform the S&P going forward.

What do you think about Blackstone, or any other stock for that matter? If you want to retire rich, you need to put together the best portfolio you can. Owning exceptional stocks is a surefire way to secure your financial future, and on Motley Fool CAPS, thousands of investors are working every day to find them. CAPS is 100% free, so get started!

Want to see how well (or not so well) the stocks in this series are performing? Follow the new TrackPoisedTo CAPS account.

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New York DUI Attorney

New York law causes it to be a criminal offense for any person drive an automobile a car under the influence of alcohol or drugs. This means that anybody who is charged with and convicted of such a offense can face serious criminal penalties along with the decrease of New York driving privileges. Since these penalties have the prospect to earnestly impact your wellbeing in Nyc, it is necessary that you just make use of the chance to consult qualified New York DUI law attorney. Using a skilled Ny DUI lawyer on the team can guide you to defend yourself against these serious DWI charges and might assist you to save your valuable driving privileges so you can proceed with your life.

Ny DUI Arrests

There are numerous circumstances under which you could be charged with DWI. You are if you have dangerous driving patterns that pose a menace to others and you are stopped by a police force official. A different way to be arrested for DUI is when you cause a car accident and also the officer believes alcohol was obviously a element in the accident. It doesn’t matter why you were arrested for DWI, you will be facing serious criminal and administrative penalties. New York is probably the states in which a DWI arrest will trigger two separate cases against you being a defendant. The first is a criminal court case in places you will face criminal charges for driving while intoxicated and a prosecutor will attempt to prove your guilt. The second is an administrative case that deals with the losing of your driving privileges inside the state of recent York. When you’re charged with a DWI offense, you can be prosecuted under a couple of prosecution theories. One of several theories requires the common law definition of driving drunk. With this type of case, the prosecutor attempt to exhibit which you were too impaired they are driving since you consumed alcohol prior to operating your automobile. The prosecutor will endeavour to show that you were impaired by introducing evidence including your ! driving habits, field sobriety test results, and knowledge whether you was intoxicated. DWI charges can also derive from submitting to chemical testing and to become a result of 0.08% or greater. In this sort of case, the charges do not have to do along with your capacity to safely operate the car. Even if you do not appear impaired during the time of your arrest, you can be faced with DWI if the chemical test reveals a failing result.

Getting a qualified Ny DUI attorney may help you both in varieties of cases. The big apple is different because the law allows someone arrested for DWI to see once you get your York DUI attorney before making a determination about whether or not to submit to or refuse chemical testing. Having a skilled Nyc DUI lawyer on your side can assist you to defend yourself against DWI charges as successfully as you possibly can. If aggravating factors appear in your DWI case, you could be arrested for a much more severe offense and face harsher criminal penalties. A DWI case can be aggravated for a lot of reasons including having a BAC of 0.15% or greater, causing a car accident, fleeing the scene of an DWI accident, or refusing to undergo chemical testing.

DWI Criminal Penalties in New York

The penalties you face if found guilty of a DWI will depend on what sort of DWI was charged and whether you’ve got any prior convictions on the record. You will be faced with a misdemeanor or a felony depending on the circumstances. A first offense DWI in The big apple is charged as being a misdemeanor. It’ll cost you using a felony DWI when you have an earlier conviction within a decade of the arrest. Driving while impaired by alcohol is not a criminal offenses in Nyc. It can be considered a traffic infraction, which means you is not going to have a criminal record if arrested for this offense. The penalties for any first offense for driving drunk by alcohol are fines of $300 to $500 and up to 15 days in jail. However, having a couple of prior convictions changes the offen! se to yo ur misdemeanor crime. The penalties really are a fine of $750 to $1,500 or over to 180 days in jail. If there aren’t any prior convictions, you’ll face a 90 day license suspension. When you have had a prior conviction, the suspension period is 6 months. Driving while intoxicated is the charge that is commonly filed when someone is charged with DWI. This can be a misdemeanor offense and can result in giving you a criminal history if convicted. The penalties may include fines of $500 to $1,000, license revocation of Six months, with no several year imprisonment. A felony DUI offense is charged when someone has been found guilty of a misdemeanor DWI. The penalties just for this offense increase low fine of $1,000 plus a maximum of $5,000. You could possibly face jail time of merely one.Three or four many probation of Several years. For the reason that penalties for a misdemeanor DWI along with a felony DWI are extremely severe, they can create a lower quality if life and negative influence on your previously good reputation. Since this can alter the whole life, it is crucial for you to utilize a The big apple DUI attorney and that means you have the best potential for getting a successful outcome within your case.

For more information about New York DUI Lawyer just visit us here.

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MF Global: Corzine goes before Senate

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- It's not just Congress that wants answers about the missing money at bankrupt brokerage MF Global.

So does Dean Tofteland.

Tofteland is a Minnesota farmer and former MF Global customer whose commodities account has been frozen since the firm's bankruptcy in late October. (MF Global: Sorting through the debacle.)

He'll be one of 10 witnesses set to appear on Tuesday before the Senate Agriculture Committee, the second congressional hearing into MF Global's collapse.

Former MF Global CEO Jon Corzine will be back in the hot seat, this time flanked by two former colleagues from the brokerage's parent company, MF Global Holdings: Chief operating officer Bradley Abelow and chief financial officer Henri Steenkamp.

Also set to testify is James Giddens, the trustee overseeing the brokerage's liquidation.

For Tofteland, MF Global's failure has left him unable to access more than $200,000 of his own money. He has been forced to delay seed purchases and leaving next year's harvest uncertain.

The plight is a common one for farmers who rely on the commodities market to protect against volatility in crop prices.

Exchange operator CME Group has accused MF Global of unlawfully "commingling" customer money with its own ahead of its bankruptcy. Customer funds are supposed to be segregated from a firm's own assets.

Six weeks on, more than $1 billion in customer money remains missing, according to Giddens. The shortfall has drawn the attention of federal regulators and the FBI.

Corzine is also due to appear before the House Financial Services Committee on Thursday to discuss the MF Global (MFGLQ) collapse. He offered testimony on the issue before the House Agriculture Committee last week, saying he did not know where the missing money was and denying ordering transfers from customer accounts.

This testimony, Tofteland said, shed little light on the case for anxious customers. He is hoping for more information when Corzine ! appears along with his former lieutenants on Tuesday.

"Between him and those other two guys, they should have a pretty good idea of where the money went," Tofteland said. "Commingling or whatever they call it in their world -- back on Main Street, it's called stealing."

Based on advance copies of the testimony from Abelow and Steenkamp, however, it appears they may not be any more help in finding the missing money than Corzine has been.

Abelow said in his brief prepared remarks that he is "deeply troubled" by the shortfall, but does not know where the money is. Steenkamp, supposedly in charge of the firm's financials, said he was only made aware of the shortfall after the fact.

"As a general matter, I was not involved with the details of segregated funds in the course of my duties as global CFO," Steenkamp said. In the firms final days, he added, "my attention was appropriately focused on crisis management and strategic issues relating to the sale of the company."

A spokeswoman for MF Global did not respond to a request for comment, nor did lawyers for Steenkamp and Abelow.

In his own testimony, Tofteland said he won't try to pose as "an expert recommending a solution," and will instead simply explain how the missing money has affected his business. Afterward, he and his 15-year-old daughter plan to spend an extra day in Washington.

"We're going to see the sights and take in the experience of a Senate committee hearing," he said. "I'm really glad that they're holding the hearings, because it means at least some of the people in Washington know who they work for and are trying to get some answers for us." 

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Pay cuts coming for new Fannie, Freddie CEOs

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- The next CEOs at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are unlikely to receive the controversial, multi-million dollar pay packages given to their predecessors, the companies' regulator said Tuesday.

"[We] anticipate a substantial decrease in CEO compensation when the new CEO's are hired," said Corinne Russell, a spokeswoman for the Federal Housing Finance Agency, which sets pay at Fannie and Freddie.

The troubled government-backed firms, which have required more than $100 billion in bailouts, came under scrutiny last year over the lucrative bonuses they granted to their executives even as they drew on public funds.

Lawmakers called the bonuses excessive and unjustifiable, though Edward DeMarco, acting director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, defended them as necessary to retaining top executives.

FHFA changed its tune on Tuesday. However Russell did not offer specific pay package figures or respond to follow-up questions.

Current Fannie and Freddie CEOs Michael Williams and Ed Haldeman have their 2011 pay targets set at about $6 million a piece, a total that will include deferred compensation. Both men have announced plans to step down at some point in the coming months.

Spencer Bachus, chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, called the FHFA's announcement on executive pay "welcome, but long overdue."

"The fact that the top executives of these two failed companies receive multi-million dollar pay packages and bonuses -- all courtesy of the American taxpayer -- is a continuing outrage," Bachus said in a statement Tuesday.

Lawmakers in both the House and Senate have introduced bills to curb executive pay at the troubled mortgage finance companies.

Of the billions in bailout funds received by Fannie and Freddie, at least $95 million has gone to pay packages for top executives, filings showed last year. 

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This Election Could Lead To The Next 'Eurocrisis'

by Jason Jenkins, Investment U Research

As the European crisis has come to unfold, we have seen Eurozone governments receive votes of no-confidence because of their inability to solve financial crisis and new governments installed. It happened to both Greece and Italy. But to be honest, these members aren't that pivotal. They're the "bailoutees."

The bullies on the block �C otherwise known as France and Germany �C possessed all the leverage to make sure some sort of austerity package was passed to keep the currency bloc going for the time being.

However, 2012 brings some new challenges to the Eurozone as its unofficial two-headed driving force may be chopped in half. France, the Eurozone's second-largest economy, will hold presidential elections on April 22 and May 6, followed by general elections in June.

Sarkozy's Rocky Five Years

French President Nicolas Sarkozy, along with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, has been cozy in leading the way to the 17-member currency bloc's response to their sovereign debt crisis. For the most part, the Conservative leaders have been in lock-step preaching austerity over monetary easing and the creation of euro bonds.

This 2012 election conversation would all be a moot point if Sarkozy was safe�� but he's not. The conservative leader is heading towards April's election with rampant unemployment, the debt crisis and the prospect of a sovereign debt downgrade all hanging over his head. Also, many French citizens resent the fact that his campaign pledges of five years ago to bolster employment haven't delivered.

His popularity ratings have inched up as he has shown leadership over the Eurozone crisis, but still stand at a dismal 34% in recent polls, and some two-thirds of French are unhappy with his performance.

Recent surveys show his competition could beat him by as much as 10 percentage points in a deciding second round in May.

The Competition

Sarkozy is fac! ing a ch allenge from Socialist party candidate Francois Hollande, and let's just say they don't see eye to eye on the management of France or the Eurozone.

In terms of governance, there's a gulf between the Conservatives and the otherwise moderate Socialist party �C that's just fundamental ideology. However, Mr. Hollande's thoughts on the direction of the Eurozone could have global implications.

Hollande is "highly unpredictable," Alistair Newton, Senior Political Analyst at Nomura, told CNBC. Newton went on to say Hollande has promised to "renegotiate the (European Union) agreement to put what it lacks today" and said he would push to include European Central Bank intervention and a new euro bond �C both measures opposed by Germany. He has also stated that he would not vote for the balanced budget part of the agreement, which has to be implemented at the national level.

Disagreement between Germany and France on the direction of the Eurozone would be catastrophic.

"This could cause a serious setback for the political process in Europe, and after years with Merkozy's intensifying leadership it could become rather uncomfortable for the financial markets to watch a Hollande publicly showing that he is very much in disagreement with German Chancellor Angela Merkel on several accounts," analysts at Danske Bank wrote in a note.

As always, look down the road when analyzing Europe. The headlines currently offer glimmers of hope but there are still more far-reaching issues to be addressed. A German/French schism may prove to be the next "Eurocrisis" to overcome.

Good investing,

Jason

{$end}

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Absolute P/E Valuations of the Top 5 Buffett-Munger Stocks

I recently came across another variant on the old standby price-to-earnings ratio valuation method. The particular variant is called the Absolute P/E and is detailed by Vitaliy Katsenelson in his book Active Value Investing and was brought to my attention by Jae Jun��s excellent Old School Value newsletter.

The basic idea is to adjust the P/E ratio to take into account several forward looking variables and determine what P/E ratio the stock should be trading at.

The variables are earnings growth, dividend yield, business risk, financial risk, and earnings predictability. The model is:

Absolute PE = (Earnings Growth Points + Dividend Points) x [1 + (1 - Business Risk)] x [1 + (1 - Financial Risk)] x [1 + (1 - Earnings Visibility)]

The value for earnings growth is determined by starting with a no growth P/E of 8 and adding .65 points for every 100 basis point increase in the projected growth rate up until 16%. After 16% you add .5 points for every 100 basis points in projected growth.

The value of the dividend yield is simply the yield expressed in P/E points, for example a 3% yield equals 3 P/E points.

The values for business risk, financial risk, and earnings visibility are all expressed as percent with companies that are riskier getting higher values and those that are less risky receiving lower values. For instance a company with low business risk like Coca-Cola might receive a value of .9 or .95 while a cyclical company with a high business risk might receive a value of 1.2.

I thought it would be interesting to apply this new twist on the P/E ratio to a few companies in the Buffett-Munger screener. I choose the top five companies that appear in the screener but I then decided to remove ITT Education (ESI), Telefonica (TEF), and Express scripts (ESRX). I removed ESI because of the intense regulatory risk around the company. The absolute P/E ratio method won��t tell us much about the regulatory risk. Te! lefonica was removed because it reports results in euros and a large portion of its debt is denominated in euros and its valuation is more a reflection of the outcome of the eurozone debt crisis than any other issue. Finally, I chose to exclude ESRX because of the ongoing merger efforts with Medco.

That left us with Humana (HUM), EZCorp (EZPW), Bio-Reference Labs (BRLI), General Dynamics (GD), and Lockheed Martin (LMT) as the top five.

So let��s see how they look using the Absolute P/E valuation method.

For the earnings yield projections I took the lowest of the 5 or 10 year net income, EBITDA, or EPS growth rate.

Humana (HUM)

Humana is a mid size health and benefits company. There are many competitors smaller than Humana and a few twice its size. The company has a solid balance sheet (as is expected for this type of company) and earns high returns on capital. I gave it a 1 for financial risk, and a slight deduction ( .05) for earnings predictability as earnings dipped during the recession. The business risk factor was a harder decision.

For-profit third party health benefits and health insurance companies have been proven in study after study to offer poorer coverage at higher prices than single payer health care systems. The healthcare system in the US is grossly inefficient and companies such as Humana play a big role in that inefficiency. I gave Humana a 1.3 for business risk because ultimately it is unlikely the US can continue on its existing path with regards to providing healthcare services. Disagree? Changing the 1.3 to 1 yields a P/E of around 18 versus the 14.23 shown below.



Currently trading at a P/E of 11.2, Humana looks like it could be a deal but it depends on your view of healthcare in the US.

EZCORP (EZPW)

EZCorp operates a chain of pawn shops in the US and Mexico as well as offering short term consumer loans. With the economy in the toilet ! it��s no surprise EZCorp has shown strong growth with five year EBITDA growing by 23.9% compounded. ROI is excellent at 23.9%. The monkey wrench in the valuation is business risk. Short term consumer loan companies are highly unpopular with state regulators and there are always efforts by regulators as well as consumer groups to rein in what they perceive as predatory lending practices (I happen to side with the consumer groups on this issue).

I gave EZCorp at 1.5 for business predictability and a 1.1 for earnings visibility as the recession has provided a huge tailwind to recent results.



EZCorp currently trades at a P/E of 10.88 which is approximately the value we came up with. Looks like the market agrees that the regulatory risk and tailwind created by the recession mean EZCorp should trade at a discount.

Bio-Reference Labs (BRLI)

BRLI provides laboratory testing services primarily to customers in the New York metro area. The company has grown rapidly (23.3% five year compounded EBITDA growth) and is in an attractive business (ROI of 17.5%).

The company competes with much larger rivals such as Quest Diagnostics and Laboratory Corp. of America so it gets a 1.1 for Business Risk.



BRLI currently trades at a P/E of 12.59 so the absolute P/E model agrees with the Buffett-Munger screener that BRLI looks undervalued.

General Dynamics (GD)

General Dynamics is a large defense contractor and civil aviation (Gulfstream jets) company. Berkshire-Hathaway recently initiated a stake in GD and Buffett has mentioned publicly that he liked the company so we should expect to see it come up as undervalued.

Growth rates are much lower than the other companies we looked at, coming in at 8.73% five year compounded growth in net income. ROI is good at 16.3%.

General Dynamics loses points in earnings predictability because of the recent chatter re! garding cuts to the Department of Defense budget.



Current at a P/E 9.25, GD looks undervalued. The absolute P/E model sees the same thing Buffett himself saw.

We profiled General Dynamics in the October 2011 issue of the Buffett-Munger Newsletter.

Lockheed Martin (LMT)

Lockheed Martin is one of the world��s largest defense contractors and the prime contractor for the always in the news Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) program.

We give LMT a 10% bonus for being the prime contractor of the only fifth generation fighter in production (although not yet in service) in the world. That��s quite a monopoly, even if LMT still has some kinks to work out in the program.

Again we deduct points for earnings visibility because of uncertainty of the Department of defense budget.



LMT currently trades at a P/E of 10.15 and just like GD looks undervalued.

Conclusion

The absolute P/E model is good addition to any investor��s toolbox. Like all valuation methods though the usual caveat that they depend heavily on forward looking assumptions still applies. Of course, what valuation method doesn��t use any forward looking assumptions at all?

The Buffett-Munger screener is designed to find Buffett-type investments with extraordinary profitability, consistency, and future prospects. Our monthly Buffett-Munger Best Bargains Newsletter picks one stock from the screener. Our in-depth analysis shares with you why a younger Buffett and Munger would like this stock. If you are a premium member, you can download it here. If you are not, we invite you for a 7-day Free Trial.

Disclosure: Long LMT

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Payday Loans Pay Off For Advance America, Stock Breaking Out

Lending to consumers outside the mainstream continues to be profitable for Advance America, Cash Advance Centers, Inc. (AEA – Snapshot Report).

It recently surprised on the Zacks Consensus for the third quarter in a row. Despite trading near multi-year highs, this Zacks #1 Rank (strong buy) is still a value stock with a forward P/E of just 9.4.

Advance America provides non-bank cash advances at 2600 centers and 52 limited licensees in 29 states, the UK and Canada to consumers who otherwise would not be able to get credit at traditional banking institutions.

Advance America Beat by 14.3% in the Third Quarter

On Oct 26, Advance America reported its third quarter results and surprised by 3 cents per share. Earnings per share were 24 cents compared to the consensus of 21 cents. The company made just 2 cents in the year ago period.

Revenue rose to $443.6 million from $440 million a year ago despite regulatory changes in Colorado, Illinois, Virginia, Washington and Wisconsin which cut revenue to $11 million from $17.3 million last year. If those 5 states are excluded, total revenue actually rose 8% year over year.

The company closed or consolidated 51 centers in 9 states, including 30 centers in Washington where its operating results were negatively impacted by a new law that went into affect in January 2010. It also opened 7 centers.

Advance America also completed the acquisition of the assets of CompuCredit’s retail storefront consumer finance business which had been announced previously. It was the most significant acquisition by the company in the last 10 years.

The deal consisted of about 300 centers in Alabama, Colorado, Kentucky, Ohio, Oklahoma, Mississippi, South Carolina, Tennessee and Wisconsin.

Zacks Consensus Estimates Rise

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IHOP, Applebee's owner is chock full o' risk

What better time to refocus on risk than in the wake of an enormous six-week rally? The market has come a long way since early October, sparking huge moves in countless stocks that were on the ropes not so long ago. Investors might be feeling better as a result, but that doesn��t mean it��s safe to take your eye off the ball.

Europe remains an accident waiting to happen, leaving open the possibility of a meaningful slowdown in growth in the year ahead. If the recession scenario does in fact play out, companies that have little financial wiggle room are likely to see their stocks obliterated. As a result, this is no time to take a chance on stocks of companies with excessive levels of debt.

DineEquity (NYSE:DIN) is a prime example of a stock that could be vulnerable to a sudden downturn in growth. It seems un-American to pan the stock of a company that brought us the Rooty Tooty Fresh N��Fruity, but the owner of the IHOP and Applebee��s chains is in a tenuous position. The company has a massive debt load of $1.5 billion due to its leveraged buyout of Applebee��s in 2007, which dwarfs its annual free cash flow of $177 million. The company has been actively reducing debt by moving to a franchise model, but more than 95% of its restaurants are now franchised — indicating that this strategy is nearing its limit.

Click to EnlargeNotably, DineEquity has the 20th-highest debt-to-equity ratio (14.8) of all publicly traded U.S. stocks, according to ycharts.com, and it is seventh among those with market caps of over $500 million. It also is the highest in the restaurant sector, ahead of Sonic (NASDAQ:SONC) at 10.3 and Morton��s Restaurant Group (NYSE:MRT) at 4.8. DIN shares are down 11% year-to-date, while Sonic is off 28% and Morton��s has fallen 22%.

Sales at Applebee��s and IHOP fell 0.3% and 1.5%, respectively, during the third quarter, and the company lowered its forecasts! for 201 2. Because of its focus on the low-end market, both chains are primed for further weakness if the economic backdrop worsens in the months ahead. With food costs rising and a large debt load to maintain, DineEquity can ill afford slower top-line growth.

During the last recession, the stock fell from a peak near $70 to a low in the mid-single digits — indicating the potential danger of owning this stock when economic growth is weak. DineEquity shares might look tempting now that they��re off over 25% from their high for the year, but with so many stocks to choose from in the casual dining sector, there��s no reason to shoulder the risks that come with owning this name.

Naturally, there also is the distinct possibility that Europe will manage to contain its problems and we will ease into an environment of slow, steady global growth. In that scenario, DineEquity — and other heavily indebted, higher-risk stocks — likely would provide investors with robust returns in 2012. In addition, DIN has a high short interest (14.2% of shares outstanding on Oct. 31), providing some added fuel if there��s better-than-expected news.

But why take the chance? At a time when the ��tail risk�� is substantial, there��s no sense rolling the dice on a stock with above-average downside potential.

As of this writing, Daniel Putnam did not own a position in any of the aforementioned stocks.

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DrStockPick.com Stock Report! Thursday August 27, 2009 (Upgrades/Downgrades)

DrStockPick.com Stock Report!

Thursday August 27, 2009


Stocks Upgraded Today

CompanyTickerBrokerage FirmRatings ChangePrice Target
Isle of CapriISLESusquehanna FinancialNeutral ? Positive
Wilmington TrustWLSun Trust Rbsn HumphreyNeutral ? Buy$16
Barclays PLCBCSKeefe BruyetteMkt Perform ? Outperform
OlinOLNBarclays CapitalEqual Weight ? Overweight
Senior HousingSNHWells FargoMarket Perform ? Outperform
Heartland ExpressHTLDUBSSell ? Neutral
Knight TransportationKNXUBSSell ? Neutral

Stocks Downgraded Today

SIGM
CompanyTickerBrokerage FirmRatings ChangePrice Target
National Fuel GasNFGArgusBuy ? Hold
Sigma Design! sCollins StewartBuy ? Hold
AstronicsATROJesup & LamontHold ? Sell$7
Medical Properties TrustMPWWells FargoMarket Perform ? Underperform
Jackson HewittJTXOppenheimerOutperform ? Perform
AlkermesALKSJefferies & CoBuy ? Hold$14 ? $11.50

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Antares Pharma Inc recently Stroke its 52 Week High Price - NYSEAMEX:AIS

Antares Pharma Inc (NYSEAMEX:AIS) achieved its new 52 week high price of $2.70 where it was opened at $2.57 UP 0.12 points or +4.69% by closing at $2.68. AIS transacted shares during the day were over 2.69 million shares however it has an average volume of 659,567 million shares.

AIS has a market capitalization $277.41 million and an enterprise value at $251.30 million. Trailing twelve months price to sales ratio of the stock was 18.51 while price to book ratio in most recent quarter was 8.59. In profitability ratios, net profit margin in past twelve months appeared at -38.65% whereas operating profit margin for the same period at -38.43%.

The company made a return on asset of -12.93% in past twelve months and return on equity of -29.20% for similar period. In the period of trailing 12 months it generated revenue amounted to $14.31 million gaining $0.16 revenue per share. Its year over year, quarterly growth of revenue was 25.50%.

According to preceding quarter balance sheet results, the company had $26.11 million cash in hand making cash per share at 0.25. The total debt was $0.00 billion. Moreover its current ratio according to same quarter results was 4.42 and book value per share was 0.30.

Looking at the trading information, the stock price history displayed that its S&P500 52 Week Change illustrated 1.37% where the stock current price exhibited up beat from its 50 day moving average price $2.29 and remained above from its 200 Day Moving Average price $2.16.

AIS holds 103.51 million outstanding shares with 81.22 million floating shares where insider possessed 19.44% and institutions kept 33.50%.

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Wal-Mart’s (WMT) Bid To Save The Healthcare System

The AMA, the federal government, and most insurance companies and HMOs have been arguing that storing and updating medical records digitally is much more efficient than having them on paper. The argument is compelling. Transferring files and billing are done more easily when?data are set up electronically. For most doctors?it makes records easier to store and update.

Wal-Mart has decided that it can help save the medical system from relying on paper and make money as part of the process.

According toThe New York Times, Wal Mart’s Sam’s Club outlets will offer digital medical systems. That paper says that “The Sam's Club offering, to be made available this spring, will be under $25,000 for the first physician in a practice, and about $10,000 for each additional doctor.” Physicians are extraordinarily cheap, so the product may be a tough sale.

If the the new Administration’s goal is to upgrade the health care?system, which would almost certainly involve overhauling it so that digital records are the norm, it will not be able to rely on $25,000 systems from Wal-Mart. The?expense of practicing medicine is rising too fast due to malpractice and labor costs. Adding another?big monthly bill?to that is asking too much of most physicians.

If the government wants to turn the tracking of patient data from 19th Century practices to 21st Century technology, it might as well buy the new systems from Wal-Mart and give them away to the doctors who want them.

Douglas A. McIntyre

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Safeway Shines With These Two Metrics

Safeway (NYSE: SWY  ) carries $431 million of goodwill and other intangibles on its balance sheet. Sometimes goodwill, especially when it's excessive, can foreshadow problems down the road. Could this be this be the case with Safeway?

Before we answer that, let's look at what could go wrong.

AOL blows up
In early 2002, AOL Time Warner was trading for $66.27 per share.

It had $209 billion of assets on its balance sheet, and $128 billion of that was in the form of goodwill and other intangible assets. Goodwill is simply the difference between the price paid for a company during an acquisition and the net assets of the acquired company. The $128 billion of goodwill in this case was created when AOL and Time Warner merged in 2000.

The problem with inflating your net assets with goodwill is that it can -- being intangible after all -- go away if the acquisition or merger doesn't create the amount of value that was expected. That's what happened in AOL Time Warner's case. It had to write off most of the goodwill over the next few months, and one year later that line item had shrunk to $37 billion. Investors punished the stock along the way, sending it down to $27.04 -- or nearly a 60% loss.

In his fine book It's Earnings That Count, Hewitt Heiserman explains the AOL situation and how two simple metrics can help minimize your risk of owning a company that may blow up like this. Let's see how Safeway holds up using his two metrics.

Intangible assets ratio
This ratio shows us the percentage of total assets made up by goodwill and other intangibles. Heiserman says he views anything over 20% as worrisome, "because management might be overpaying for the acquisition or acquisitions that gave rise to the goodwill."

Safeway has an intangible assets ratio of 3%.

This is well below Heiserman's threshold, and a sign that any growth you see with the company is probably! organic . But we're not through; let's also take a look at tangible book value.

Tangible book value
Tangible book value, which is simply what remains after subtracting goodwill and other intangibles from shareholders' equity (also known as book value, see box). If this is not a positive value, Heiserman advises you to run away because such companies may "lack the balance sheet muscle to protect themselves in a recession or from better-financed competitors."

Safeway's tangible book value is $4 billion, so no yellow flags here.

Foolish bottom line
Safeway appears to be in good shape in terms of the intangible assets ratio and tangible book value. You can never base an entire investment thesis on one or two metrics, but there are no yellow flags here. If any companies you're researching do fail one of these checks, make sure you understand the business model and management's objectives. I'll help you keep a close eye on these ratios over the next few quarters by updating them soon after each earnings report.

Keep up with Safeway, including news and analysis as it's published, by adding the company to your free, personalized watchlist.

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Billionaire's Plans for Macau Casino Resort Stung by Global Credit Crunch

It's been a hard few months for Eastman Kodak (NYSE: EK  ) , but this past week was a real doozy. The stock fell on rumors that the company may be talking with Citigroup (NYSE: C  ) about arranging bankruptcy financing, a development that could see Kodak selling its patent portfolio to meet obligations.

anImage

Source: Yahoo! finance.

If Kodak's share price continues to slide, there's a distinct possibility that the stock itself could be delisted. But whoever snaps up Kodak's patents could find itself sitting on a goldmine of possibilities. The future may be hazy for Kodak, but photo bugs out there can still find a reason to smile.

If you're on the hunt for ideas in the year ahead, check out the new report we've compiled named "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2012." It details one company set for a bright future, but it'll be available for only a limited time. Get access to the report and find out the name of this legendary company.

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24/7 Wall St. 2007 Break Up Values: Ebay $28 (Current Price $32)

By Ryan Barnes. Edited by Douglas A. McIntyre

Ebay, Inc. (EBAY)

Ebay's main property is obviously their flagship marketplace site, which generates revenues from listing fees collected on the user base, which currently stands at over 200 million.  The other 2 company-designated segments are Payments (Paypal) and Communications (Skype VoIP).

Ebay really can't be sliced up any way other than spinning off the Paypal unit to realize the profit they've made on the deal, and selling Skype outright.  The Skype deal is less than 2 years old, but for the sake of analysis we will include the value of the purchase at cost as the technology is too new to provide much of a dent in current revenues at Ebay. 

Net income growth is still in very impressive territory over at Ebay, and the same goes for Paypal, which is clocking 30% plus income growth currently.  A stand-alone stock for Paypal could trade for 20x operating income very easily, which would value the unit at just over $10 billion.  Valuing Ebay's core business is difficult because nobody knows for sure when the top-line growth will slow down to "normal" rates.  Ebay still deserves a premium valuation, so we're giving it a multiple of 25x operating income, which would put the PEG ratio at about 1.2, bringing the total breakup value to $28 per share.  A company like Ebay should trade for more than its breakup value, as the brand, intangibles, and high barriers to entry are what give the company much of its value.  Still, with the recent troubles in the stock it is clearly close to entering "value investor" territory.

Ryan Barnes

Ryan Barnes has over 10 years' experience in portfolio management and investment research, covering equities, fixed income, and derivative! product s. Ryan spent the past 5 years working as an institutional trader & manager for high-net worth investors, working with Merrill Lynch, Charles Schwab, Morgan Stanley, and many others.  Ryan is currently working as a writer and financial modeling consultant on hedging and capital appreciation strategies, and does not own securities in the companies being covered.

Methodology

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Q4 Growth Drives 2010 Equity Returns: Ibbotson

Target maturity funds enjoyed their "second great year in a row," according to the Ibbotson Target Maturity Report for the fourth quarter of 2010. The average target maturity fund returned 7.1% in the fourth quarter, according to Ibbotson, beating the BarCap U.S. Aggregate Bond Index's decline of 1.3%.

Fourth-quarter equity asset classes drove performance for the year. The S&P 500 returned 10.8% in the fourth quarter; with third-quarter returns of 11.3%, the total return for 2010 was over 15%. The 12-month return for the averge target maturity fund was nearly 13%, less than the return for the Morningstar Lifetime Moderate Index (14.7%) or the S&P 500, but nearly double that of theBarCap U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, which returned 6.5%.

In describing equity asset class performance throughout the year, the authors wrote, "The first quarter saw mild, yet positive returns in global markets, followed by a second quarter in which equity markets plunged and fixed income markets experienced their strongest quarter of the year. The third and fourth quarters, though, took off and didn’t look back […] ."

Non-U.S. equities didn't fare as well. The report notes that they "rebounded well" as did most other asset classes in the third quarter, but "they have to be considered disappointments in 2010." Non-U.S. developed equity returned 8.2% in 2010, compared with an average annual return of 14.5% for the seven years prior, the report authors write. That seven year period includes a 43.1% loss in 2008. Likewise, emerging market equity performed well compared with other asset classes, but was a disappointment based on prior performance. In 2010, emerging market equity returned 19.2%, after averaging 30.7% annual returns for the seven years prior. Emerging markets lost 53.2% in 2008.

The report highlighted three main trends for the fourth quarter:

  • U.S. assets outperformed non-U.S.
  • U.S. small cap outperformed U.S. large cap
  • U.S. growth outperformed U.S. value

The top performer for the fourth quarter was U.S. small growth equity, which returned 17.1%. Large growth equity returned 11.8%. Value equity had slightly smaller returns: Small value returned 15.4, while large value returned 10.5%. Commodities were similarly successful, returning 15.8%. The report noted that while growth outperformed value for the quarter, in the long term investors should expect value to come out on top.

The difference between U.S. equity and non-U.S. equity is stark. Non-U.S. developed equity returned 6.7%, while emerging market equity returned 7.4%. Real estate showed similar returns at 7.4%.

"During the fourth quarter a weakening Euro depressed the performance of non-U.S. developed equity, leading the asset class to underperform both U.S. and emerging market equities," the authors wrote.

Overall, the second quarter is the only one in which equity asset classes experienced negative returns.The U.S. market fell a "horrendous" 37% in 2008 and rebounded 26.5% in 2009, before settling at 15.1% last year. "Though this is greater than we expect over the long-term, it was still much more of a return to normalcy."

Just as it did in the fourth quarter, growth outperformed value equity in 2010, and small cap outperformed large cap. Large growth equity returned 16.7%, and small growth equity returned 29.1%. Small value equity returned 24.5% and large value equity returned 15.5%.

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Cramer: 3 Tech Stocks Rising

Sure, this market should be going down already. Sure, this year has become too good to be true. You can sell now and take it all to the bank and they won't mind that you made it because you played the first few weeks of January.

Still Greek uncertainty. Google's(GOOG) hammering. Downbeat commentary about Europe across the board. We should be in a tailspin.

But the Dow says "no" to the tailspin and it says it each day with a different group, whether it be telecom or health care or industrials. Today it said "no" to a big selloff with three old-line tech companies that are still so cheap on earnings that we heard last night that you can see why people will still b! uy them.

All three tell different stories. Intel(INTC) actually did have killer gross margins and did make up some ground at the end of the quarter. People are becoming believers in the future and it isn't just because of hype, it is also because of the big boost in capital expenditures for new form factors. A new cycle could be at hand and maybe several. It can go higher, especially with a boost in the already-bountiful dividend and some big cellphone chip orders that might be coming their way.

>>Click here to learn about Real Money, a premium service that relays investment strategies from veteran Wall Street pros.

Microsoft(MSFT) is becoming the stealth opponent of Apple(AAPL) using Xbox to become a preferred hardware player. I am having a hard time getting my arms around this even as the kids love Xbox and love to stream on it. But I like generational ignorance. It means the appropriate demo knows more than I do. You get Skype integrated into actual TV watching, badmouthing American Idol participants to your friends while watching the show and suddenly Microsoft actually has pizzazz. I don't want to get too far ahead of myself here, because Microsoft is a personal-computer-based company and I think we all see the writing on the wall on that one even as it seems like a huge wall with small writing right now. But to me, it's terrific to hear about another business line that has come on strong in a different way than just gaming. Ballmer keeps his job, the stock goes higher.

IBM(IBM)? What can I say? It's a delivery machine. They are so far ahead of targets and it isn't all stock buybacks, although that buyback is now up there with Autozone(AZO) as one that is moving the needle. I continue to be impressed with how aggressive IBM is in consulting and how consistent it is.

!

Oddly, what I think caused the stock to skyrocket today was only part earnings. The rest might have been the chart that was signaling one of the more classic head-and-shoulders patterns I have come across of late and I know many traders who thought that Europe had to be bringing them down. Nada. The stock goes higher.

Three stocks left for dead, two repeatedly in Microsoft and Intel, and one for many years, IBM. All back to life, and not as Walking Dead but sprinting winners. They all go higher.

Action Alerts PLUS, which Cramer co-manages as a charitable trust, is long IBM and AAPL.

>To order reprints of this article, click here: Reprints

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PepsiCo Inc. (NYSE: PEP) Is the Perfect Buy-and-Hold Investment

If they aren't already, long-term investors should be digging up some solid defensive plays, like PepsiCo Inc. (NYSE: PEP).

Everyone is familiar with PepsiCo, one of the leading manufacturers and marketers of food and beverage products. And with a strong business model, steady bottom-line growth, and a healthy dividend, PepsiCo is one of those rare buy-and-hold investments.

Although its name is typically associated with soda, PepsiCo has developed a diversified product line that supports a steady revenue stream from more than just fizzy drinks. PepsiCo, through its Frito-Lay and Quaker Oats subsidiaries, is the name behind consumer-favorite brands like Doritos, Tropicana, Gatorade, SoBe Lifewater, Cracker Jack, Rice-A-Roni, and Grandma's Cookies.

Many investors already know that, though.

What you might not know is that PepsiCo's future earnings are based on much more than delicious snacks for U.S. consumers.

This global powerhouse is investing in two areas that will drive food company profits going forward: emerging markets growth and "good for you" products.

It has struck deals to develop both initiatives this year, and the efforts are paying off.

Increased emerging markets sales boosted PepsiCo's revenue from those countries 33% last quarter. Sales of healthy products are on pace this year to hit almost $15 billion, and the company hopes to double that by 2020.

When you combine its new business focuses with its existing profitable product lines, PepsiCo is strong enough to weather a global economic storm - exactly what our portfolios need to include right now.

So it's time to buy PepsiCo Inc. (**).

PepsiCo Inc. Knows Where to Find Profits

Purchase, NY-based PepsiCo, founded in 1898, has had a strong presence in the U.S. food and beverage market for decad! es. Now it's working on replicating that brand loyalty in developing economies.

Pepsi announced last year that it was going to invest $2.5 billion in China - one if its highest growth markets - to expand its local capacity. It has massive plans for new manufacturing facilities, research and development centers, and brand-building programs.

The increased investment has already helped sales. In the third quarter, PepsiCo reported snacks volume grew in eight of its top 10 international markets, with snacks volume in Asia, the Middle East and Africa up 16% from the year before. China's snacks volume was up 31%, India up 26%, and Turkey 22%.

PepsiCo, recognizing the growing global focus on nutrition, also is starting a healthy-foods initiative.

It's expanding its product range to include more juice, dairy, and grain products, and expects healthier selections to make up about 30% of its portfolio in 10 years. Right now about 22% of PepsiCo products are considered "good for you."

It's already making strides in health with some global dealmaking. PepsiCo in September became the No. 1 juice and dairy company in Russia when it completed its $3.8 billion purchase of Wimm-Bill-Dann. And it has many more healthy products in the pipeline.

PepsiCo is reportedly working with a German company on a new yogurt product for the United States, will introduce iron-fortified snacks in India, is developing a new fruit beverage for Latin American markets, and is trying to identify nutrient-dense staple crops in sub-Saharan Africa to locally produce snacks.

PepsiCo's profits also will get a bump from continued food inflation. Global food prices are expected to increase 4% next year, and could climb even higher on supply squeezes. Costlier food prompted the company to raise product prices, which helped boost last quarter revenue by 13%.

Indra Nooyi, PepsiCo chief executive officer, said the pricing adjustments ,as well as in! creased consumer demand, led to well-balanced top-line and bottom-line growth last quarter.

The company reported revenue of $64.5 billion in the last trailing 12 months and gross profits of $31.2 billion. PepsiCo has been steadily increasing earnings for five straight quarters, with an average 1.7% increase in net income and 26.2% revenue growth. Revenue in the third quarter ended Sept. 30 rose 13.3% to $17.6 billion.

Pepsi has a market capitalization of about $100 billion, and an enterprise value of more than $121 billion once net debt and cash levels are considered. The company's 3.2% dividend yield makes it one of the higher yielding defensive megacaps.

Analysts give it an average price target of $70.17, a 9.9% premium to Friday's $63.85 closing price.

Action to Take: Buy PepsiCo Inc. (NYSE: PEP) (**).

PepsiCo Inc. is a strong defensive play with steady and stable growth and dividend yield. It provides investors with a place to park low-risk capital.

The stock has had a tight trading range in the last year. It is extremely liquid and has a liquid options market.

Let's buy our exposure while the market is weak overall, but use the market to help average into this one. If you want to invest 3% of your low-risk portfolio, let's buy 2% at market now.

For the last third, let's put in a limit order at 5% below your first fill.

Pepsi also makes a great covered-call vehicle. The stock is not going to run away from us if we cap our near-term upside, and if it did, we can always repurchase it on weakness.

(**) Special Note of Disclosure: Jack Barnes has no interest in PepsiCo Inc. (NYSE: PEP).

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Raymond James Adds 5 Advisors From Wells, UBS

Raymond James (RJF) said Thursday that it hired a team for its employee channel from Wells Fargo in Richmond, Va., with about $1.1 million in yearly sales and $90 million in assets. This news comes about a week after the firm tapped three reps in near Jackson, Miss., to join its independent-advisor operations from Wells Fargo (WFC) and UBS (UBS) with roughly $3 million in combined annual fees and commissions, as well as about $500 million in assets.

Advisors James A. Schmidt and Bernice “Bernie” Murff recently formed the Schmidt Wealth Management Group of Raymond James and opened the first Raymond James & Associates office in Richmond.

“I’m thrilled to welcome such an accomplished team to Raymond James,” said Tash Elwyn, (left) president of RJ&A, in a press release. “Jim and Bernie are extremely talented, offer very individualized services and bring extensive experience to our firm. We could not ask for a stronger team to open the first RJ&A office in Richmond.”

The team focuses on a “relatively small base of client families particularly customized investment services,” said Schmidt, in a statement, “so it was extremely important to us to be able to continue to offer these strategies at Raymond James. Tash and complex manager Tony Barrett and many home office associates worked tirelessly with us to be sure this was possible.”

Schmidt and Murff met with senior leadership and numerous employees, according to Murff. “[I]t was evident that everyone enjoyed working at Raymond James, and that they all understood the importance of helping clients achieve their financial goals,” he said in a release. “The firm’s values and the culture just felt right to us.”

Raymond James says its independent broker-dealer has three offices in the Richmond area and one bank branch that offers an investment program through a partnership with Raymond James Financial.

On Dec. 27, financial advisors Arthur Finkelberg, Butch McKenzie Jr., and Albert Green joined Raymond James’ employee channel in Jackson.

“I am thrilled to be able to open our first ever office for Raymond James & Associates in this part of the country with such an accomplished group of advisors,” said Ira Federer, divisional director for the unit, in a press release.

Raymond James is moving to expand in the Gulf Coast, according to Tom Galvin, complex manager for the region. “[W]e are looking for advisors of this caliber and reputation to join our growing division,” he said in a statement. The firm’s independent-advisor channel has 16 independent offices in the state of Mississippi, as well as seven bank branches with investment programs.

Finkelberg comes to Raymond James from Wells Fargo where he managed $283 million in client assets and had annual production of $1.5 million. He began his career in 1982 with Merrill Lynch, later joining A.G. Edwards and the succeeding firms of Wachovia and Wells Fargo.

“I wanted to join an investment firm where all the employees, from top management on down, are focused on one thing: helping our clients,” said Finkelberg. “After researching almost every firm out there, I found that Raymond James came closest to that ideal."

McKenzie also joined Raymond James from Wells Fargo, where he managed over $110 million in client assets and had annual production of almost $600,000. He started his career with A.G. Edwards in 1984, moving to Paine Webber in 1990 and back to A.G. Edwards in 1995, staying through the Wachovia and Wells Fargo acquisitions.

“After meeting with senior management, department heads and numerous employees,” said McKenzie in a statement, “it was evident that everyone enjoyed working at Raymond James, and that they all understood the focus of the firm is helping clients achieve their financial goals.”

Green joined the firm from UBS, where he managed almost $150 million in client assets and had $949,000 in annual production. Green, an almost 50-year veteran of the industry, began his financial services career with Equitable Securities in 1962. That firm was then acquired by Paine Webber and later UBS Financial Services.

Raymond James has about 5,400 advisors in its various channels in the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom with some $268 billion in assets under administration.

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Warren Resources Traded Over Peak Price - WRES

Warren Resources, Inc. (NASDAQ:WRES) recently hit 52 week peak price $5.75, opened at $5.31 scored +6.08% closed $5.58. WRES traded on over 1.02 million shares in comparison to average volume of 515,460 shares.

WRES has earnings of $19.84 million and made $85.89 Million sales for the last 12 months. Its quarter to quarter sales remained 40.62%. The company has 71.19 million of outstanding shares and 67.49 million shares were floated in the market.

WRES has an inside ownership at 2.34% and institutional ownership remained 62.13%. Its return on investment (ROI) for the last 12 month was 8.26% as compare to its return on equity (ROE) of 15.97% for the last 12 months. The price moved ahead +11.86% from the mean of 20 days, +20.81% from 50 and went up 51.13% from 200 days average price. Company’s performance for the week was 7.93%, +26.53% for month and yearly performance remained 137.45%.

Its price volatility for a month remained 5.10% whereas volatility for a week noted as 4.85% having beta of 2.70. Company’s price to sales ratio for last 12 months was 4.62 while its price to book ratio for the most recent quarter was 2.63 and its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) remained 45.13 Million for the past twelve months.

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How to Buy Bonds in King Harald's Norway - SmartMoney.com

Everyone knows the U.S. government faces a budget crisis. Everyone, it seems, except the bond market. Investors are still willing to lend to Uncle Sam for 2 to 3 percent interest, even for 30 years. Money continues to pour into bond funds.

I'm sorry to be a skeptic, but I think investors are making a mistake. These bonds may turn out okay, but they involve big risks -- not of default, but of currency debasement and inflation, which destroy a bond's value.

Also See

  • Time to Invest in China?
  • Analysts' Picks No Better Than Throwing Darts
  • Is Your Broker Tweeting Lies?

So, should we all be considering buying foreign government bonds? If so, which ones are the best bets? And how can you go about getting them?

Many foreign "sovereigns" seem to offer a much more compelling trade-off between risk and return. Start with the safe ones. According to the International Monetary Fund, the industrialized-world governments with the strongest finances include Denmark, Norway, Sweden, New Zealand and Australia.

Norway is in a league of its own. The country has invested its North Sea oil windfall sensibly: While we have a national debt, King Harald V is sitting on net assets. His government's assets exceed its liabilities by about $800 billion, or 170 percent of GDP. I'd be happy to lend this man money.

People in finance still call the interest rate on Treasury bonds the risk-free rate, but for my money, that term ought to apply to King Harald's bonds. And yet 10-year Norwegian bonds recently yielded about 2.5 percent, compared with around 2 percent for U.S. Treasurys -- showing that investors have more faith in Uncle Sam than in the Norse.

The other strong nations are also sit! ting far prettier than the U.S. Sweden has net assets equal to one-fifth of its economy. Denmark, Australia and New Zealand have net debts, but each is less than 12 percent of GDP. The figure for the U.S. is 80 percent and rising.

Dan Fuss, the bond guru at Loomis Sayles, is a fan of all these countries. Your main risk is exchange rates: If the dollar rises against other currencies, it will eat into your returns. There are country-specific risks, too. Australia and New Zealand have inflation and are exposed to the commodities boom, for good or ill. So is oil-rich Norway. Fuss notes New Zealand has geological risks as well: It contains two of the world's supervolcanoes.

At the other end of the spectrum is Ireland. The fallen Celtic Tiger is trying to fight its way out of depression and austerity. There is a risk of default and a "haircut" on the bonds. But the 30-year bonds yield 9 percent. You could take a serious buzz cut on those, watching their yields plunge, and still beat someone who owned Treasurys.

Mutual funds aren't a great avenue for owning these bonds; funds tend to spread investors out among bonds from a bunch of other nations, including Japan, whose bonds pay squat. The good news is that some brokers can help you buy these bonds directly; though you'll likely have to get on the phone to make it happen. You don't need to be a high roller, either. E-Trade, for example, can usually trade in lots of 25 bonds for developed countries. That typically works out to be around $25,000. And they can deal in Norwegian bonds for around $5,000 -- not bad for a piece of Harald's kingdom.

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Dear U.S.A.: Your Account is Overdrawn


Dear United States of America: We regret to inform you that your withdrawals exceeded your deposits last year by $1,600,000,000,000 ($1.6 trillion), including your "supplemental appropriations" spending.

Your account does have an overdraft protection, and so bonds were sold to cover your $1.6 trillion overdraft. While we value your business, we feel obligated to remind you that this is the third year that your overdraft protection exceeded 10% of your gross national product (GDP), and it seems your account is on course to register yet another $1.6 trillion overdraft in fiscal year 2012.

Currently, your overdraft account exceeds your GDP of $15 trillion.

Quite frankly, we are worried that you have become dependent on extensive overdraft protection--a feature designed to tide the account holder over for a short period of time in near-term expectation of higher deposits or lower withdrawals--and that relying on large-scale overdraft borrowing to cover your basic expenses is now your standard operating procedure.

This violates the intent of the overdraft feature, and as a result we must seriously consider modifying the terms of the overdraft protection on your account. Current conditions enable us to provide this overdraft, but the feature was not designed to be permanent nor on this scale. 

In order to give you sufficient time to bring your deposits and withdrawals back into alignment, we will maintain the current low-interest overdraft protection on your account through fiscal year 2012. Beyond that, however, please be aware that to maintain the integrity of the system, we will have to raise the rate of interest on your overdraft and scale back the size of the overdraft line of credit.

We regret informing you of these modifications, but the o! verdraft protection was not intended to be permanent nor near-infinite in scale.

Yours truly,
The Global Bond Market

*Post courtesy of Charles Hugh Smith at Of Two Minds.

 

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Morgan Stanley CEO Steps Down, Will Remain As Chairman

Acacia Research Corporation (NASDAQ:ACTG) witnessed volume of 1.23 million shares during last trade however it holds an average trading capacity of 321,989.00 shares. ACTG last trade opened at $43.47 reached intraday low of $42.05 and went +7.91% up to close at $44.87.

ACTG has a market capitalization $1.92 billion and an enterprise value at $1.61 billion. Trailing twelve months price to sales ratio of the stock was 11.61 while price to book ratio in most recent quarter was 5.89. In profitability ratios, net profit margin in past twelve months appeared at 18.21% whereas operating profit margin for the same period at 27.55%.

The company made a return on asset of 12.32% in past twelve months and return on equity of 16.57% for similar period. In the period of trailing 12 months it generated revenue amounted to $153.19 million gaining $4.59 revenue per share. Its year over year, quarterly growth of revenue was 53.70% holding -33.30% quarterly earnings growth.

According to preceding quarter balance sheet results, the company had $313.61 million cash in hand making cash per share at 7.33Y. Moreover its current ratio according to same quarter results was 10.25 and book value per share was 7.05.

Looking at the trading information, the stock price history displayed that its S&P500 52 Week Change illustrated 21.98% where the stock current price exhibited up beat from its 50 day moving average price of $36.03 and remained above from its 200 Day Moving Average price of $33.34.

ACTG holds 42.77 million outstanding shares with 38.85 million floating shares where insider possessed 3.88% and institutions kept 71.30%.

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TETRA Technologies (TTI) Guides 2012 In-Line With Consensus

TETRA Technologies Inc. (NYSE:TTI), an oil and gas services company,issued its earnings forecast for 2012, in line with Wall Streetprojections.

The Woodlands, Texas-based company expects earnings? of $0.70 to$0.90 per share from continuing operations attributable to TETRAstockholders. Analysts' expect the company to post earnings of 78 centsper share.

The company said the earnings outlook reflects anticipated improvement in each of its service segments in 2012.

"During 2012, we expect to benefit from the continued strength ofshale-related activity onshore in the US, improvements in completionactivity in the deepwater Gulf of Mexico, continued strength in Mexicoand increased activity in other international markets, and improvedconditions in the Gulf of Mexico abandonment and decommissioningmarket," said chief executive Stuart Brightman.

TETRA said its Offshore Services segment is dealing with typicallyslow fourth quarter activity in the Gulf of Mexico and the added impactof unusually poor weather conditions.

"We do expect that the Offshore Services segment will experience avery weak first quarter in 2012 due to typically poor seasonal weatherin the Gulf of Mexico and our need to dry-dock several assets for theirperiodic maintenance and inspections," said Brightman.

The stock closed 6.4 percent higher at $9.94 on Tuesday.

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